Kule veki iphelileyo, imithwalo yemithwalo esuka eAsia isiya eUnited States naseYurophu ifike phezulu.Kwiinkampani eziza kungena kwixesha eliphakamileyo lokwakha kwakhona uluhlu, iindleko zokuhamba ziya kuqhubeka zihlala ziphezulu.
Ngokwe-Drewry World Container Index ekhutshwe ngoLwesine, izinga lothutho kwisitya esizinyawo ezingama-40 ukusuka eShanghai ukuya eLos Angeles lenyuke laya kutsho kwirekhodi yaseMelika eyi-9,733 yeedola, ukonyuka nge-1% kwiveki ephelileyo kunye nokunyuka kwe-236% ukusuka kunyaka ophelileyo. .Izinga lokuthuthwa kwempahla ukusuka eShanghai ukuya eRotterdam linyuke laya kutsho kwi-US$12,954, ukunyuka nge-1% kwiveki ephelileyo kunye nokwanda kwama-595% kunonyaka ophelileyo.Isalathiso esiyintlanganisela esibonisa iindlela zorhwebo eziphambili ezisibhozo sifikelele kwi-US$8,883, umyinge wama-339% ukusuka kunyaka ophelileyo.
Esinye sezizathu zemakethi exineneyo kukunqongophala okuqhubekayo kwezikhongozeli ezithwele iimpahla zaseMelika ezivela kumazwe angaphandle kwindlela exakekileyo enqumla kwiPasifiki.Umthwalo ofakwe kwikhonteyina uthululela kwelona sango likhulu lorhwebo lwaselwandle laseMelika elinomthamo ophindwe kahlanu wemigqomo egcwele imithwalo ethunyelwa ngaphandle.
Kudliwano-ndlebe nabatyali-mali, usihlalo kunye ne-CEO ye-Haverrty Furniture, ikomkhulu e-Atlanta, yathi: "Namhlanje, ukusilela kwee-container, iimveliso, ukuthunyelwa, njl., kunye naziphi na ezi mveliso ziye zalibaziseka. Konke oku kubi kakhulu. "Utshilo kwintlanganiso yabatyali-zimali kule veki.
Uthe xa ebuzwa ukuba le ngxaki yonikezelo kulindeleke ukuba ithathe ixesha elingakanani, uSmith uthe: “Kuthiwa ingxaki yokunikezela ngempahla iya kuhlala kude kube ngunyaka ozayo. kufuneka uhlawule ngaphezulu ukufumana isikhongozeli kunye nendawo. ."
Izibuko lisaxinene kwaye liya lisiba worse
I-Port of Los Angeles yathi ngoLwesithathu ukuba umthamo opheleleyo wokungenisa izikhongozeli ezilayishwe ngoJuni ngu-467763 TEU, ngelixa umthamo wokuthumela ngaphandle wehla waya kwi-96067 TEU-inqanaba eliphantsi kakhulu ukususela ngo-2005. I-% ukuya kuma-357,101 TEU, apho ukuthunyelwa kwempahla kumazwe angaphandle kwehle nge-0.5% ukuya kwi-116,947 TEU.Itotali yokungenisa kula mazibuko mabini kwinyanga ephelileyo inyuke nge-13.3% xa kuthelekiswa nenyanga enye ngo-2019.
Kwangaxeshanye, ngokutsho kwamagosa abeke iliso kwi-traffic traffic, ukususela ngolwesiThathu ebusuku, inani leenqanawa ezinqatyisiweyo ezilindele ukuthuthwa eLong Beach eLos Angeles zazineminyaka eyi-18. malunga 40 iinqanawa ekuqaleni February.
UGene Seroka, umlawuli olawulayo wePort of Los Angeles, uthe kwinkomfa yabezindaba ukuba imfuno yeemveliso zabathengi ibonakala iza kuhlala izinzile unyaka wonke.USeroka uthe: "Ifashoni yasekwindla, iimpahla zokubuyela esikolweni kunye neempahla zeHalloween zifika kwiidokhi zethu, kwaye abanye abathengisi bathumele iimveliso zeeholide zokuphela konyaka ngaphambi kwexesha.""Zonke iimpawu zikhomba kwisiqingatha sesibini esomeleleyo."
UMario Cordero, umlawuli olawulayo weLong Beach, uthe nangona izibuko lilindele urhwebo lwe-e-commerce ukukhuthaza ukuthuthwa kwempahla kwintsalela ka-2021, umthamo wempahla unokufikelela kwincopho yawo.UCordero uthe: "Njengoko uqoqosho luqhubeka nokuvuleka kunye neenkonzo zikhula ngakumbi, uJuni ubonisa ukuba imfuno yabathengi bempahla iya kuzinza ngokuthe ngcembe."
Isishwankathelo semarike yamazwe ngamazwe kwisiqingatha sokuqala sonyaka singashwankathelwa ngolu hlobo lulandelayo:
1. Ukwanda okubonakalayo kwimfuno yothutho
Ngokwengxelo yekota yesibini kaClarkson, izinga lokukhula komthamo wothutho lwekhonteyina yehlabathi ngo-2021 limalunga ne-6.0%, kwaye kulindeleke ukuba lifike kwi-206 yezigidi zeTEU!
2. Isantya seenqanawa ezitsha ezingena kwiimarike zahlala zizinzile, kwaye iinqanawa ezinkulu zaqhubeka zihamba phambili.
Ngokwezibalo zikaClarkson, ukusukela nge-1 kaMeyi, inani leenqanawa zekhonteyina zehlabathi ezigcweleyo laliyi-5,426, 24.24 yezigidi zeTEU.
3. Iirenti zeenqanawa ziyaqhubeka nokunyuka
Imfuno yokuqeshwa kweenqanawa ikhule ngokuthe ngcembe, kwaye abanye abanini bempahla nabo bathathe inxaxheba kwimisebenzi yokuqeshisa.Inqanaba lerenti yemarike liye lanyuka ngokuthe chu kwaye lafikelela kwinqanaba eliphezulu apha enyakeni.
Imarike yehlabathi kulindeleke ukuba ibonise ezi mpawu zilandelayo kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka:
1. I-rebound yezoqoqosho ivuselela ukunyuka kwemfuno yokuthumela ngenqanawa.Ngokoqikelelo lukaClarkson, imfuno yokuthumela ngenqanawa kwihlabathi liphela iya kunyuka nge-6.1% unyaka nonyaka ngo-2021.
2. Ubungakanani bomthamo wezothutho buqhubeka nokukhula ngobukhulu.
3. Kumxholo wokuqhubeka nokuchatshazelwa ngubhubhane ngo-2021, ukusebenza kakuhle kwemarike yokuthumela ngenqanawa yehlabathi kuya kuncitshiswa kakhulu.
4. Ugxininiso loshishino luzinzile ngokubanzi.
Indlela yokusebenza yomanyano ithintele ishishini ekukhuphisaneni nesabelo semarike ngokhuphiswano lwamaxabiso aqatha nokugcina uzinzo lwemarike ngexesha lobhubhani.
Imbonakalo yemarike yaseTshayina kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka:
1. Imfuno yezothutho kulindeleke ukuba iqhubeke nokuphucula.
2. Ukuguquguquka kwesantya somthwalo kunokunyuka.Ubhubhani uyaqhubeka nokuba nempembelelo kwimarike yokuthumela, inkqubo yokubonelela iphazamisekile, ukusebenza kakuhle kwemisebenzi yezibuko kuncitshiswe kakhulu, kwaye ukunikezelwa komthamo wokuthutha kukwimeko eqinile.
Iindlela zaseMntla Melika
Ngenxa yempendulo engalunganga, inani lamatyala aqinisekisiweyo kunye nokufa kwentsholongwane yesithsaba esitsha e-United States ikwinqanaba lokuqala emhlabeni.Nangona iUnited States ityale isixa esikhulu semali ukugcina ukuchuma kwemarike eyinkunzi, ayinakufihla ukuchacha okucothayo koqoqosho lokwenyani.Elona nani labantu abangaphangeliyo lilodlula kude elo langaphambi kwalo bhubhani.Kwixesha elizayo, uqoqosho lwase-US lunokwenzeka ukuba luphume kwisiphithiphithi sezemali.
Ukongeza, ukuqhubeka kokurhweba kwe-Sino-US kunokuba nefuthe elikhulu kurhwebo lwe-Sino-US.Okwangoku, iUnited States ikhuphe inani elikhulu leenzuzo zokungaqeshwa, eziye zavuselela inani elikhulu lemfuno kwixesha elifutshane.Kulindeleke ukuba imfuno yokumanyaniswa kwemveliso yase China yase-United States ihlale iphezulu kangangexesha elithile, kodwa ijongene nokungaqiniseki okukhulu.
Ngokwezibalo ze-Alphaliner, phakathi kweenqanawa ezintsha ezicwangciselwe ukuhanjiswa kwi-2021, kukho iinqanawa ze-19 ze-10000~15199TEU ezine-227,000 TEUs, ukunyuka konyaka-ngonyaka kwe-168.0%.Lo bhubhani ubangele ukunqongophala kwabasebenzi, ukwehla okubonakalayo kokusebenza kakuhle kwezibuko, kunye nenani elikhulu leekhonteyina zixingile kwizibuko.
Ngokunyuka kotyalo-mali kwizixhobo zesikhongozeli kunye nokubuyiselwa komthamo omtsha, kulindeleke ukuba ukunqongophala kwangoku kwezikhongozeli ezingenanto kunye nomthamo oxineneyo kuyakudamba.Kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka, ukuba ubhubhani wase-US uzinza ngokuthe ngcembe, ukuthunyelwa kwe-China e-US kulindeleke ukuba kuhlale kuzinzile, kodwa kuya kubakho ubunzima obuthile ukuba baqhubeka bekhula ngokukhawuleza.Ubudlelwane bobonelelo kunye nemfuno yeendlela zaseMntla Melika buya kubuyela kwibhalansi, kwaye amaxabiso omthwalo wentengiso kulindeleke ukuba abuye ukusuka kumazinga aphezulu embali ukuya kumanqanaba aqhelekileyo.
Indlela yaseYurophu ukuya emhlabeni
Ngo-2020, ubhubhani waqhambuka ngaphambili eYurophu kwaye wahlala ixesha elide.Emva kwexesha, ngenxa yokuqhambuka koxinzelelo lwe-mutant delta, uqoqosho lwaseYurophu lwabetha ngamandla.
Ukungena ngo-2021, nangona ubhubhani uqhubeka usasazeka eYurophu, uqoqosho lwaseYurophu lubonise ukomelela okuhle.Kunye nesicwangciso esingazange sibonwe ngaphambili sokubuyisela uqoqosho lwe-EU esamkelwe ngummandla we-EU, idlale indima exhasayo ekubuyiseleni uqoqosho lwaseYurophu kwimpembelelo yalo bhubhani.Ngokubanzi, ngokucotha okucothayo kobhubhane, imfuno yaseTshayina yokumanyanisa ukuthunyelwa kwempahla kumazwe angaphandle kweYurophu iyaphucuka, kwaye unikezelo lwemarike kunye nobudlelwane bemfuno buzinzile.
Ngokoqikelelo lukaDrewry, imfuno yezothutho engasentshona kuMntla-ntshona Yurophu nakuMntla Merika iya kuba malunga ne-10.414 yezigidi ze-TEU ngo-2021, ukunyuka konyaka-ngonyaka nge-2.0%, kwaye izinga lokukhula liya kunyuka ngepesenti ye-6.8 ukusuka ku-2020.
Ngenxa yempembelelo yobhubhane, ukusebenza kakuhle kwezothutho kuncitshiswe kakhulu, kwaye ezinye izikhongozeli ziye zaxinga ezibukweni, kwaye imakethi ibonise imeko yeendawo ezixineneyo zokuthumela ngenqanawa.
Ngokumalunga nomthamo, umthamo jikelele wemarike okwangoku ukwinqanaba eliphezulu.Ngexesha lobhubhane, ukukhula kwamandla kuye kwacotha.Nangona kunjalo, umthamo omtsha uya kuba ziinqanawa ezinkulu, eziya kutyalwa ikakhulu kwiindlela eziphambili ukuphelisa ukunqongophala komthamo.Ngexesha elide, xa imakethi yokuthumela iikhonteyina ibuyela kwimpembelelo yobhubhane, imakethi iya kubuyela kwibhalansi yokubonelela kunye nemfuno.
Indlela yaseMntla-Mazantsi
Ngo-2021, ubhubhane uya kuqhubeka ukusasazeka kwihlabathi liphela.Amazwe atyale imali eninzi ukuze anyuse amaxabiso ezinto zorhwebo, kwaye uninzi lwamaxabiso eemveliso anyuke afikelela kumanqanaba phambi kokuqhambuka kobunzima bezimali kwihlabathi ngo-2008, ngokuyinxenye buthomalalisa ubunzima bamazwe athumela izinto kumazwe angaphandle.
Nangona kunjalo, ngenxa yokuba uninzi lwamazwe athumela izibonelelo kumazwe asakhasayo, inkqubo yezempilo yoluntu ibuthathaka, kwaye kukho ukunqongophala kwezitofu zokugonya ukulawula ubhubhane.Ubhubhani eBrazil, eRussia nakwamanye amazwe ubukhali kakhulu, kwaye uqoqosho luphela luchaphazeleke kakhulu.Kwangaxeshanye, ubhubhani oqatha uye wavuselela imfuno yezinto eziyimfuneko zemihla ngemihla kunye nezixhobo zonyango.
Ngokutsho koqikelelo lukaClarkson, ngo-2021, imfuno yokuthumela iikhonteyina kwiindlela zaseLatin America, iindlela zaseAfrika, kunye neendlela zaseOceania ziya kunyuka nge-7.1%, 5.4% kunye ne-3.7% unyaka nonyaka, ngokulandelelana, kwaye izinga lokukhula liya kunyuka 8.3, 7.1 kunye ne-3.5 yepesenti yamanqaku ngokulandelelanayo xa kuthelekiswa no-2020.
Lilonke, imfuno yezothutho kwindlela esemantla-esemazantsi iya kuthatha ngo-2021, kwaye ubhubhani unciphise ukusebenza kakuhle kwenkqubo yokubonelela kwaye uqinise unikezelo lomthamo wokuthutha.
Imarike yomzila ongasentla ukuya kumzantsi ixhaswa yimfuno yezothutho kwixesha elifutshane, kodwa ukuba imeko yobhubhane kumazwe achaphazelekayo ayilawulwa ngokufanelekileyo, iya kufaka uxinzelelo kwindlela yemarike kwixesha elide.
Indlela yaseJapan
Emva kokungena ngo-2021, ubhubhani eJapan uye waphinda waphinda wanda kwaye wodlula incopho yobhubhane ngo-2020, ukuze iiOlimpiki zaseTokyo zibanjwe ngendlela yokuba ababukeli bathintelwe ukuba bangene ebaleni.Isixa esikhulu semali etyalwe kwiiOlimpiki sinokujongana nelahleko enkulu.
Ubhubhani uye wabetha ngakumbi kuqoqosho lwaseJapan olusele lubuthathaka, kunye neengxaki ezikhulayo zesakhiwo ezifana nokukhula kwabantu abalupheleyo, ukukhula koqoqosho lwaseJapan kuswele amandla kwimeko yamatyala aphezulu.
Imfuno yothutho yokuthunyelwa kweTshayina kwiindlela zaseJapan izinzile ngokubanzi.Ukongezelela, iinkampani ze-liner ezisebenza kwiindlela zaseJapan zenze ipateni yeshishini elizinzile iminyaka emininzi, ukuphepha ukhuphiswano olubi lwesabelo semarike, kwaye imeko yemarike ihlala izinzile.
Iindlela ngaphakathi kweAsia
Amazwe aseAsia anolawulo olululo lwesibetho aza kujongana nobhubhani osanda ukwanda ngo-2021, kwaye amazwe anje ngeIndiya abangele ukuba ubhubhane uphume kulawulo ngenxa yoxinzelelo lwe-delta.
Njengoko amazwe aseAsia ubukhulu becala ingamazwe asakhasayo, iinkqubo zempilo nezonyango zibuthathaka, yaye lo bhubhani uye waluthintela urhwebo, utyalo-mali nokuhamba kwabantu.Ingaba ubhubhane unokulawulwa ngokufanelekileyo iya kuba yeyona nto iphambili emisela ukuba uqoqosho lwase-Asia lungazinzisa kwaye luphinde luzinze na kwixesha elizayo.
Ngokutsho koqikelelo lukaClarkson, ngo-2021, imfuno yokuthumela ngenqanawa kwingingqi yaseAsia iya kuba malunga ne-63.2 yezigidi ze-TEU, ukwanda kwe-6.4% unyaka nonyaka.Imfuno yezothutho izinzile kwaye iphinde yaphindaphindeka, kwaye umthamo wokuhambisa ngenqanawa kwiindlela zokuhambisa uya kuxinana kancinci.Nangona kunjalo, ubhubhane unokubangela ukungaqiniseki okukhulu kwimfuno yezothutho yexesha elizayo., Izinga lothutho lwemarike lingaguquguquka ngakumbi.
Ixesha lokuposa: Jul-17-2021